Alex Jacobson 3.0

January 29, 2008

Amsterdam nearly half muslim. Can't stop violent youth.

Filed under: Buggy Whips 50% off!, The Enemy is Us — admin @ 5:30 pm

Just read this piece  from Pajama’s  media  complaining of gay bashing in Europe.  It notes in passing that nearly half of Amsterdam is Muslim. I  assume the proportion of Muslims in all of Holland is much  smaller but this population is younger and nearly controls the capital.

I wonder what the numbers are for Paris and am curious what the numbers need to be to result in a  defacto change of control. The totals matter less than the  details.    If  Ashkenazi  Europeans  (new usage for this word) are old and live outside the major cities  while  the  newer Sephardi  Europeans are younger and live in the cities then defacto we will see a change in control.

The  other variable is what portion of the  sephardi  population  is  willing  to  resist  their  more  activist  peers.   The  examples  from  other  countries  don’t  leave much hope for Ashkenazi power.

January 25, 2008

Against Data Portability

Filed under: Lets do what!? — admin @ 8:49 pm

Saw this advocacy of DataPortability over at Valleywag. It is an idea only a programmer could love. Real humans don’t want data portability. As I told Joseph Smarr of Plaxo, when I go to BurningMan, I don’t necessarily want to interact with the same people I meet at tech conferences. Every context has its appropriate ambient data and connections. A flat world limits freedom.

Facebook initially got it right. They created a place where people could feel free to express themselves in a particular context. The feeling of security and privacy led to a flourish of content uploaded to the site. By opening up, now, if you are on Facebook, you have the risk that your mom or your employer is going to see the photos your friends posted of your antics at the party last night.

A transparent society is a totalitarian society and thats not fun for anyone.

Does currency follow politics?

Filed under: Buggy Whips 50% off! — admin @ 8:18 pm

Reading this piece on Sarkozy’s plans to freeze French government spending, I started to reflect on the fact that Germany also relatively recently voted against socialist government and England is likely to vote Tory in the next election.

In contrast, the US has a very high probability of increase the representation of Democrats in congress and electing either Hillary or Obama POTUS.

Where do you want to put your money?

September 20, 2007

Experimenting with moving my blog to wordpress (and blogging again)

Filed under: Uncategorized — admin @ 7:09 am

Morgan asked why I am starting to blog again. I said because I need a place to output thoughts and this is a good one.

Stuff below here is really old.  There are also intervening posts on SpareInk that have yet to be moved.

November 20, 2006

Is the Singularity a Religious Eschaton?

Filed under: Intellectual Practice — admin @ 3:55 pm

“Live long and prosper” or “Be fruitful and multiply” that is the choice of our times.

Randall Parker argues that improvements in health and longevity technologies are changing the environment to select (darwinistically) for those humans most interested in reproduction. Simple exponential math tells you that relatively small differences in fertility lead to large differences in population over time.

Right now, the biggest apparent determinant of fertility is religion. So as technology improves, unless the “live long and prosper” folks are really good at converting “be fruitful and multiply folks” to their view, it will be the later who will rapidly come to dominate all aspects of society.

Wikipedia describes Jewish beliefs about the eschaton as follows:

Tumultuous events will overturn the old world order, creating a new order in which God is universally recognized as the ruler over everyone and everything. One of the sages of the Talmud says, “Let the end of days come, but may I not live to see them”, because they will be filled with so much conflict and suffering.

Sounds a lot like a technological singularity dominated by Jews, Christians, and Muslims. More wikipedia:

Islam teaches the bodily resurrection of the dead, the fulfillment of a divine plan for creation, and the immortality of the human soul; the righteous are rewarded with the pleasures of Jannah (Heaven), while the unrighteous are punished in Jahannam (Hell)

Immortality of the human soul is definitely something promised by the tech folks (backup your brain onto silicon etc.). The difficulty is that it will be very difficult (and perhaps immoral?) to keep the life extension technology out of the hands of the be-fruitful-and-multiply crowd.

All of these religions (and hindu as well) have some model in which evil people will be damned to hell and only the good will persist. In a world where the power to destroy all increases with Moore’s law, the need to restrain evil will become a top priority. Only the good will survive and history will come to an end.

Update: Spengler observes in the Asia Times that the confrontation with modernity is causing Iranians to give up, stop breeding, and start whoring. I’d never thought of prostitution as an institution that exists in opposition to reproduction but his argument makes sense. In any case, perhaps this is an argument that reproduction and modernity are inherently in conflict. Perhaps there is some natural law that cuts down reproduction naturally to match changes in potential longevity.

Blogging here again.

Filed under: Uncategorized — admin @ 3:52 pm

SpareInk seems to have gone inactive, so I guess I will blog here in the interim. Copying my last post from there.

June 29, 2005

I am advocating wireless socialism at a new group blog: SpareInk.com

Filed under: Lets do what!? — admin @ 2:11 pm

Check it out SpareInk.com.

June 24, 2005

Foriegn Financial UnProductivity responsible for US Trade Deficit?

Filed under: Social Markets — admin @ 5:06 pm

A few posts back, I linked to an article that discussed the entirely dismal productivity of the retail sector in Japan and other foriegn countries and how that was an indicator that they were actually much poorer than we were here. Now MarginalRevolution points to this article by Glen Hubbard about foreign financial unproductivity and how it may be the reason why so many foreigners choose to place their wealth here. The only way they can get their wealth into US dollars is for them to maintain a trade surplus with us. This would explain why the dollar keeps such a high value despite substantial US tradedeficitis.

As an aside: it is likely that the same forces that prevent financial sectors from getting more productive (e.g. by foreclosing on bad loans) are also the forces that prevent companies like Walmart from entering. Small business.

June 22, 2005

Why the poor don't raise taxes higher on the rich

Filed under: Navel Gazing — admin @ 11:14 am

In “Broad Ownership Needs Broad Taxpaying”, the PowerLine guys argue that:

Which leads to the question: What will happen if conservatives succeed, as part of their push for an Ownership Society, in redirecting much of the payroll tax from federal coffers into the personal accounts of workers? Most Americans would then be directly supporting the federal government only through the income tax and the few federal sales and excise taxes (e.g., on gasoline). The result: Most Americans would no longer be making any significant contribution whatever toward the maintenance of the federal government.
Any new programs that Congress might adopt would cost the average American little or nothing. He already pays scant income tax, and he would be getting much of his Social Security and Medicare taxes back in the expected personal accounts. So at that point the relatively small number of citizens who make significant income tax payments would be carrying our whole federal edifice.
And there’s the rub. “Rebating” a big chunk of payroll taxes back to workers in the form of personal accounts is devoutly to be wished for in most ways. But one troubling side effect of such a transformation would be to nakedly expose the tax burden that our personal income tax disproportionately lays on the top 5 percent of Americans.
Our Founders had no confidence that voters, unmoored from financial responsibility, would refrain from pillaging the wealth of their neighbors. If most of Washington’s costs end up piled on just a few backs, the only thing preventing a sharp ratcheting up of the income tax will be the decency and political principle of ordinary Americans.
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This pessimism is unwarranted. The untaxes would refrain from raising taxes because they know that they benefit from revenue collection. A rational population that was untaxed would stil choose taxes that maximize revenue rather than taxes that maximize “justice”. Obviously if taxes are 100% no one would would bother to earn money. If taxes are 0% no revenue would be collected. The truth is somewhere in between and rational revenue beneficiaries would choose it. Actually they might choose something slightly lower corresponding to their hope that they themselves will eventually earn enough money to pay taxes.

June 21, 2005

Cooking made us human

Filed under: Navel Gazing — admin @ 5:17 pm

Love this one

Critics of cooked foods, and there is a raw foods movement in the world, Wrangham pointed out, say “Look at chimpanzees. They eat raw and thrive.”

Chimpanzees, he re-emphasized, spend far more time eating than humans do and as a result don’t have time or energy to expand far beyond their range. In German research studies on the effects on humans of following a raw food diet, the results show that humans eating only raw food are hungry, experience weight loss and, in the case of women, quit having regular menstrual cycles, which means that the rate of reproduction is precariously lowered.

“It seems difficult for me to deny the evidence that the evolution of man came with the discovery of fire and cooking,” Wrangham said. “Cooking changed the biological design of humans, and that fact is the basis of paleo-gastronomy,” he added.

“Being able to spend a low percent of time eating made hunting possible and expanded the range of humans out of Africa and into Asia,” Wrangham said. Cooking also prompted the sexual division of labor: men, being bigger and stronger, hunted, and women provisioned and cooked.

Cooking created the human family or civilization, where humans not only assumed tasks suited to their skills but also put those skills to work in taking care of one another. You hunted for the group or family, as well as yourself. Or, you cooked for the hunter, as well as yourself.

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